John T. Reed’s news blog
John T. Reed’s rules of investment
Posted by John Reed on
Reed’s rules of investment1. No one can predict future asset values.2. If it sounds too good to be true, it is not true.3. Minimize or eliminate transaction fees.4. Minimize or eliminate gains taxes.5. Minimize or eliminate income taxes.6. You should own multiple uncorrelated assets.7. Some of your assets should be hedges against inflation, like real estate, coins, foreign currency, forever stamps, inventory, raw materials.8. Some of your assets should be hedges against deflation like coins, preferably coins with high-melt value to face value ratios so they also protect against inflation.9. Borrow a mortgage to buy a principal residence from a...
Bengals won in OT but could have won in regulation with better clock management
Posted by John Reed on
Bengals RB just got hurt deliberately sliding at the one yard line. Correct clock management. Game is tied at 17. 1:31 left 2nd & goal They should try to run the clock down to :03 then kick the game-winning field goal so the game clock ends while the kick is in the air..But QB Burrows got a TD. That is actually WRONG. 1:29 left for Broncos to come back and tie or win. Bengals LOWERED their win probability by getting the TD instead of running the clock down as far as possible then kicking the FG..Broncos get TD with :08...
Do NOT go for two because you missed a one point P.A.T previously,
Posted by John Reed on
When a team scores a TD then fails to kick the PAT, next time they score a TD, they go for 2..WTF?.The rule for going for two is you do it when the probability of success is greater than twice the probability of getting one..If you can succeed at two more than twice as often as you succeed at one, you should ALWAYS go for two..What does failing to get one after one TD have to do with whether to go for two on the next? Not a damned thing..Should you ever go for two when your success rate at...
Pandora is free; SXM is expensive and not as good
Posted by John Reed on
I cancelled my SXM today. I think. .I paid by annual check. $23 a month!.Last time we paid, they turned it off demanding a late fee..A late fee? They cannot turn it off for being late AND demand a late charge. What are they going to do—turn it back on retroactively?.My last bill from them demanded $38.83..When I contacted them to cancel it and get a refund of my check payment, they said they would turn it back on and keep my check..What part of “cancel” do they not understand?.After about 20 minutes of arguing and offering to cut the...
The West Point Class of the Gulf of Tonkin
Posted by John Reed on
This is an article I contributed to my West Point class of 1968 40th reunion memory book in 2008..The Class of the Gulf of TonkinJack ReedIn this book and at West Point in September, 2008, we commemorate our graduation 40 years ago. We do, indeed, have thousands of shared memories from the common experience of being cadets. But in a spiritual sense, we are probably more united today by another day four years earlier than our graduation. On July 1st, 1964, we did a magnificent and noble thing. We entered West Point.On that day, we all had the same goals:...